## [APBR_analysis] Home vs Away FT%

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• Watching the Pistons/Sixers game, Brent Mussburger expressed confusion as to why players shot FTs worse on the road. Seems to me that before you wonder about
Message 1 of 3 , May 10, 2003
Watching the Pistons/Sixers game, Brent Mussburger expressed confusion as to why
players shot FTs worse on the road. Seems to me that before you wonder about something
like that, you should ask if it is true first.

02-03, all players
Home 22287-29415 75.8%

If we look at individual players who have 30 or more attempts on the road and at home,
you'll find that 123 players' FT% dropped on the road, while the same number had their
FT% rise. The difference between these players' FT%ages, road vs home, was not
significant.

ed
• ... confusion as to why ... wonder about something ... the road and at home, ... same number had their ... home, was not ... I was thinking about the same
Message 2 of 3 , May 10, 2003
--- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, <igorkupfer@r...> wrote:
> Watching the Pistons/Sixers game, Brent Mussburger expressed
confusion as to why
> players shot FTs worse on the road. Seems to me that before you
> like that, you should ask if it is true first.
>
> 02-03, all players
> Home 22287-29415 75.8%
>
> If we look at individual players who have 30 or more attempts on
> you'll find that 123 players' FT% dropped on the road, while the
> FT% rise. The difference between these players' FT%ages, road vs
home, was not
> significant.

I was thinking about the same thing.

My next questions was: "If we don't see any difference, does that
imply that the actual difference in performance that we do see
between home and road is then due to defense alone (since defense has
no role in shooting FTs)?"

DeanO
• ... From: aaronkoo [mailto:deano@rawbw.com] Sent: Saturday, May 10, 2003 5:11 PM ... [...] ... A tempting conclusion, but one could well imagine that other
Message 3 of 3 , May 13, 2003
-----Original Message-----
From: aaronkoo [mailto:deano@...]
Sent: Saturday, May 10, 2003 5:11 PM

--- In APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com, <igorkupfer@r...> wrote:

>> 02-03, all players
>> Home 22287-29415 75.8%

[...]

>I was thinking about the same thing.
>
>My next questions was: "If we don't see any difference, does that
>imply that the actual difference in performance that we do see
>between home and road is then due to defense alone (since defense has
>no role in shooting FTs)?"

A tempting conclusion, but one could well imagine that other aspects
of a team's offense decline on the road, even though their FT% stays
the same. FT% is probably the one element of offense which changes
the least under varying circumstances of home, road, quality of
opponent, etc.

Still, it's interesting to contemplate. I would've guessed that the
offense on the road would be most affected, and maybe instead it's
the defense (either the visitor's D getting worse or the home team's
D getting better). Plus officiating.

--MKT
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