Re: [APBR_analysis] Re: Walker's Boston Correlation
----- Original Message -----
From: "John Hollinger" <alleyoop2@...>
Sent: Friday, May 09, 2003 7:22 PM
Subject: [APBR_analysis] Re: Walker's Boston Correlation
> I'd be interested to see the data from the year before and see if it
> held up. One thing that may be producing a larger 'effect' than
> expected is that Walker has obviously been playing with some kind of
> injury during the second half of the year -- all his numbers went in
> the toilet and have continued to do so in the playoffs -- and during
> that same stretch the Celtics, not surprisingly, played far worse
> than during the season's first half.
> So we aren't seeing results of teams shutting down Walker as much as
> we are seeing the result of Walker's health shutting him down, and
> thus are an artifact of his current hobbled state rather than of his
> importance to the Celtics.
Looks like you're on to something.
01-02 season, Celtics stats with Antoine Walker's subtracted
Pts OppPts EffFG% OppEffFG%
<avg 92.7 93.0 47.5% 46.6%
>avg 100.0 95.3 49.1% 46.8%
Here we see something different: when Walker has a bad game, the rest of the Cs also
have bad games -- perhaps because the teams they face have better defenses.... Nope,
just checked - the teams against which AW had his better games were defenses just as
strong as those against which he had his poor performances: 103.0 vs 102.3, although
the difference is not significant.