Re: underclassmen and the draft
- View Source--- In APBR_analysis@y..., "Michael K. Tamada" <tamada@o...> wrote:
>....people here have come up with several hypotheses for player
> 1. simple age (a 24 year old will play better than an 18 year old)
> 2. receiving training (including practice time, perhaps this is
> measured by practice minutes, or number of practices, or months ofsimple age)
> practice -- though that'll be practically identical with using
> 3. minutes (or games, or seasons) of actual playing timeWhat about championship minutes? What of that frozen moment when
> 4. minutes (or games, or seasons) of non-garbage playing time
the shot has been released, the shot that will either secure one's
legacy as an amateur player, or tarnish it?
Michael Jordan hit a championship shot in college. Did this whet
his appetite for more, and sustain him thru the lean years in Chicago?
Hakeem never won a college title. Did coming-so-close allow him
to focus on doing even more to ensure that future opportunities would
not slip away?
A very-good college-age player, it seems, faces the choice of
vying for a national collegiate championship, or putting in time on
an NBA bench (or on the floor for a bad team).
If money is everything, and sooner is better, then you don't like
the possibility of an injury in college, carving out of your earning
and achievment potential. If there is anything to the notion that
certain vital personality traits are learned at certain ages, then
you have an argument: that anyone who likes the idea of college
competition may well do better by going to school, having that
youthful experience, and letting the pro career happen later.
How many NBA players have expressed regret at staying in school
longer than was economically expedient? Has Jordan publicly lamented
his time "wasted"? Has anyone?
I like Kevin Garnett, even his expletives. Presumably, a college
career would have purged him of his habit. But for every KG, there
are probably a dozen or more guys who could develop, as people, more
beneficially, by an amateur career, walking through the seasons, from
dorm to class to gym, learning some life; and then going pro.
Just my opinion.