## Defense Effects on Shooting

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• When a defense opts to leave a man open, how much do they improve a player s shooting? The three-point shootout provides a way to look at this because we can
Message 1 of 1 , Feb 11, 2001
When a defense opts to leave a man open, how much do they improve a
player's shooting?

The three-point shootout provides a way to look at this because we
can compare the shooting percentage in the contest to shooting
percentages in games. I did this originally 4 years ago; the results
are in

http://www.tsoft.com/~deano/articles/aa040397.htm

and show a general 10% increase in FG% in the contest vs. in games.

Yesterday's contest actually shows a similar result. Although I
couldn't find the listing of shot progression this time, the total
scores of the players were given as

Team Player Points
Mil Ray Allen 20
Sac P Stojakovic 19
Dallas Dirk Nowitzki 17
Orlando Pat Garrity 15
Dallas Steve Nash 14
Seattle Rashard Lewis 12
N York Allan Houston 11
Utah Bryon Russell 10

Final Round
Team Player Points
Mil Ray Allen 19
Sac P Stojakovic 17
Dallas Dirk Nowitzki 10

with 2 points given for money balls and 1 for all others. Assuming
that money balls were hit no more frequently than regular balls, the
point total of 164 works out to be about 137 total shots made
(164*5/6). Each player took 25 shots in each round, for a total of
275 shots. 137/275 is about 50% shooting.

During the regular season, the players shot

Team Player fg3%
Mil Ray Allen 0.412
Sac P Stojakovic 0.398
Dallas Dirk Nowitzki 0.364
Orlando Pat Garrity 0.453
Dallas Steve Nash 0.417
Seattle Rashard Lewis 0.407
N York Allan Houston 0.412
Utah Bryon Russell 0.444

This works out to be an average of about 41%, for about a 9%
improvement.

Having watched the 2-ball competition, I suppose that could also be
used to estimate improvement without defense. It would be
particularly useful for general shooting, as opposed to just 3 pt
shooting. But the 2-ball results aren't easily used, unless someone
taped the show and can track them for us. Anyone???

Dean Oliver