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Re: [APBR_analysis] predicting W-L record based on team pointdifferential

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  • Richard Scott
    Right, was somewhere in that range when I looked I think. ... From: john wallace craven To: Sent:
    Message 1 of 1 , Oct 10, 2002
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      Right, was somewhere in that range when I looked I think.

      ----- Original Message -----
      From: "john wallace craven" <john1974@...>
      To: <APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com>
      Sent: Friday, October 11, 2002 5:03 AM
      Subject: Re: [APBR_analysis] predicting W-L record based on team
      pointdifferential


      >
      >
      >
      > On Thu, 10 Oct 2002, Richard Scott wrote:
      >
      > > Have also seen that Bill James pythagorean method applied to the NBA to,
      to do this. The exponent, of course, is radically different.
      >
      > I found that an exponent somewhere around 13 (unfortunately, I don't have
      > my notes with me; I'm at school and they're at home) works really well.
      > Obviously, it's not perfect; just like baseball, factors other than point
      > differential (like luck) impact won-lost records.
      >
      > John Craven
      >
      > > ----- Original Message -----
      > > From: bchaikin@...
      > > To: APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com
      > > Sent: Thursday, October 10, 2002 3:17 AM
      > > Subject: [APBR_analysis] predicting W-L record based on team point
      differential
      > >
      > >
      > > This is pretty radical. Does anyone know what team ppg differential
      > > typically produces in terms of W-L record? My guess is 6.3 ppg and
      > > 57-25 is closer to normal, like Bob says, than 3.1 ppg and 55-27 is.
      > >
      > >
      >
      >
      >
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