Re: Cha at Mil, 5/20
- --- In APBR_analysis@y..., <deanlav@y...> wrote:
> I get ESPN Classic. If you'd like I'll try to score some. Do youhave a
> step-by-step guide as to how to do it?I have two scoring techniques, one for the offense and one for the
> Dean L
defense. The offensive method is documented in a couple places
For defense, I originally developed a similar-looking scoresheet
technique that is documented here
This, however, is hard to do. It is an immense amount of work and
the analysis of the data takes and additional amount.
Instead, I have posted a spreadsheet under the Files section here
called defstophandchart.xls that is just a tally sheet of
non-traditional numbers. Putting these numbers together with blocks,
steals, and defensive rebounds allows some counting of "Defensive
Stops" for individuals, one thing I really want to track. The
non-traditional stats are Forced Misses, Forced Turnovers, and Forced
missed free throws. I also have in there Allowed Field Goals and
Allowed Free throws. There is an explanation of how to score things
in the spreadsheet.
There clearly is some interpretation involved in doing the scoring.
I find that scoring off of offensive rebounds is hard -- I often
award a made FG off of an OR to the team unless it's obvious whose
man picked up the garbage.
Take a stab and ask me questions. I'd also be curious to score the
same game as you to see how scoring varies between scorers. (I have
found that official scorers occasional give steals to the wrong
person and blocks are sometimes very questionable.)
Journal of Basketball Studies
- --- In APBR_analysis@y..., msg_53@h... wrote:
> --- In APBR_analysis@y..., "Dean Oliver" <deano@t...> wrote:desperation.
> I would definitely like to see
> > them call hard fouls the way they should. Throw people out much
> > often, as far as I'm concerned.
> I don't like the idea of ejecting players, except in
> If a star player or 2, or 3, are gone, the game is hardly worthgenerally
> watching. Like locking up criminals and throwing away the key, in
> practice it doesn't work.
> Giving the damaged party 2 or 3 or 4 FTs, all the while the
> opposing coach is chewing out his player, would be better.
> Putting the onus on the refs, to eject Shaq in LA, would
> result in no penalty at all. Ejection is so "all-or-nothing". Howball
> to throw out the bathwater without tossing the baby.]
> How about this rule: first team flagrant foul = 2 FT and the
> out; 2nd team flagrant = 4 FT and the ball; etc...I guess this is a sociological issue, isn't it? Increase the penalty
> What we want is that the game not get out of hand, right?
or the likelihood of getting caught. I took a class once called the
Economics of Crime. Very interesting studies of tax evaders and how
to deter tax crime, among other things. A general conclusion of the
profs was that increasing the likelihood of getting caught was the
greatest deterrent in avoiding crime -- not increasing the penalty.
Making the analogy to basketball, this would imply that flagrant
fouls actually get called, not that we increase the penalty for them.
I'm not convinced this is right because it is so ingrained in
players now that 2 fta's plus the ball is still not as bad as giving
up a layup. Maybe.
What I want is not that the game get out of hand, but there is not a
reward for fouling in a layup situation, which there is now.
Journal of Basketball Studies.
- --- In APBR_analysis@y..., Andy Finkelstein <andyf@b...> wrote:
> If you push the shot clock to 30 seconds, I would think that thegames
> would be even *lower* scoring than they are now! I have alwaysfelt
> that if the league wants to increase scoring, the shot clock shouldbe
> reduced to *20* seconds. If nothing else, I think it should forceeven
> *more* shots per game, and therefore more chances for points to beHighly likely that increasing the clock would mean lower scoring
games. Likely that reducing the clock would increase point totals
without significant impact on efficiency.
> Also, could someone explain to me how the "8 seconds to cross thedon't
> backcourt line instead of 10" will increase scoring? Personally, I
> think there should be *any* limit... I mean, if there's a shotclock to
> control your possession, who cares *how* long it take you to crossHere is why it _may_ help. By decreasing that time, you tempt
> halfcourt, as long as you get your shot off in time?
defenses to actually pull out a full-court press, which causes either
quick turnovers or quick scores on the other end. It's not clear
whether 8 seconds is enough to make a difference, esp. since common
wisdom is that you cannot press NBA point guards. I personally think
that this is going to make almost no difference next year. It may
have a difference in a couple years.
Journal of Basketball Studies
- --- In APBR_analysis@y..., Ed Weiland <weiland1029@y...> wrote:
>Ed's points are very good here. I'd been thinking about it myself.
> The Lakers didn't have a historic regular season in
> either W-L record or point differential. But they
> might be on their way to an unprecedented 15-0 sweep
One thing I would add is that the Laker defense was the weakspot
during the regular season. It is also what has improved
significantly in the playoffs. This points to 2 things
1. It emphasizes that defense is what takes effort and that the
Lakers were a bit lazy during the season, knowing that they could
turn it on in the postseason.
2. The best offensive teams are probably better off in the playoffs.
I did a quick study of this (using certain assumptions about whether
teams slack off in the regular season) and posted it at
"They Say Defense Wins Championships"...
For the record, I had the Lakers and the Bucks with the best offense
Journal of Basketball Studies
> through the playoffs. I know there's a lot of
> basketball to be played yet, but whether it's the
> Bucks or the Sixers, the East opponent will not only
> be worn down, they'll also be possibly the worst team
> the Lakers will face during their run. A four game
> sweep in the finals is not only a possibility, it
> seems downright likely. Especially if 15-0 (or
> tree-fo-fo-fo as Moses Malone might put it) is a
> possibility going in. You know the Lakers are thinking
> about it now and will be gunning for it.
> Here are some of the best playoff runs until this
> season that I found:
> '61 Celtics 8-2 11.9 point diff
> '71 Bucks 12-2 14.5
> '82 Lakers 12-2 6.1
> '83 Sixers 12-1 6.5
> '86 Celtics 15-3 10.3
> '87 Lakers 15-3 11.4
> '91 Bulls 15-2 11.8
> '96 Bulls 15-3 10.6
> The '01 Lakers are 10-0/14.1 so far. I don't ever like
> to declare any team the best ever, especially a team
> hasn't even been crowned champions yet and that's not
> what I'm saying here. I will say that IF the Lakers go
> on to run the table in the playoffs, you'd at the very
> least have to call it the most impressive playoff
> performance ever. Considering it's being done against
> possibly the best eight team field one conference has
> ever sent into the playoffs, it's that much more
> amazing. Kind of a bummer, since I was looking forward
> to a more exciting playoffs. At least we might get to
> see history made.
> Ed Weiland
> Do You Yahoo!?
> Yahoo! Auctions - buy the things you want at great prices
- For the record the score of the second game was Minneapolis 133 St. Louis
75 - a 58 point margin which at that time was the largest margin of victory
in the NBA for any game - playoff or regular season.
The regular season record was topped in 1960 by the Nats over the Knicks
162-100. The current record is Cleveland's 148-80 win over Miami in 1990.
But the Lakers still own the playoff record.
> The largest playoff margin of victory was not by anyone listed
> below. The 1956 Lakers outscored their opponents by 18.7 ppg. They
> lost to the Hawks 116-115, won 145-73, and lost again by 116-115.