Re: [APBR_analysis] Re: Yao Ming
- There's another consideration here, of course.
Whoever took Yao was going to get an immediate and substantial bump in
their fanbase. Even if he struggles mightily, I'd predict that Rocket
merchandise takes about a 150% bump in sales this year. If he does well,
the sky's the limit. Consider what happened to Perugia when Nakata came
from Japan to Italy. He then got sold on just because a larger club was
willing to pay a lot for the boost in sales, trips to see them play, etc.,
even though as just a player on the pitch he wasn't worth his value.
When you consider that basketball teams are corporations, this is clearly
the most $ value they could get for the #1 pick regardless of competitive
balance. If he is even a halfway decent player, that makes it a smart
business pick. If he's a Rik Smits type, he's the best 1st draft pick
ever. If he's a superstar, even more so.
Houston just picked up about 100 million fans. Not bad for a day's work.
On Thu, 27 Jun 2002, HoopStudies wrote:
> I have very mixed feelings, having never seen him do much more than
> shoot around, get stomped by the Americans in the Olympics, and see
> highlight reels.
> I hate it when I read that a big guy is being looked at for his
> little guy skills, which is what you hear about him. He certainly
> works on his jump shot and ballhandling. From what I've seen, he's
> pretty slow to release his j, which is not good, but made up for by
> his height. I think if you plan on making him a perimeter offensive
> player (like a Bill Laimbeer), he has a pretty decent shot. I really
> was not impressed with his low post stuff in the Olympics, though I
> admittedly wasn't really looking too hard back then. He may be tall,
> but even the slightest bump can throw a big stick off down low. And
> he's gonna get bumped a lot. Rik Smits showed a touch down low even
> with a bump. Ming hasn't shown that to me. If Houston puts him down
> low and expects him to be their low box scorer, they could be in for
> a long wait and possible resistance from their #1 pick.
> Obviously, the guy is 7'5", so he is going to block shots, but is he
> going to be a defensive threat? Does he seal passing lanes? Does he
> know how to come off his man to help on the inside? Olajuwon knew
> instinctively how to do that and I was always so impressed. No one
> is talking about Ming's D and that worries me. The rap on Nowitzki
> and Wang ZhiZhi has been D. Both of them are tall and were good
> defenders where they came from. If Ming doesn't play D, his value
> drops enormously.
> Sitting on the outside, I never would have taken this guy first
> except for the value others see in him. If he doesn't get used
> right, he's going to fail -- I feel. But others did see him play
> more. Others did work him out. They should know better.
> --- In APBR_analysis@y..., "alleyoop2" <alleyoop2@y...> wrote:
> > I think he'll be quite good. He compares to Rik Smits because he's
> > tall and can shoot, but he's an inch taller than Smits, weighs 30
> > pounds more and doesn't have foot problems. I don't think he's a
> > Shaq/Hakeem/Ewing type of talent, but I'd bet he'll be as good as
> > Brad Daugherty.
> > --- In APBR_analysis@y..., Ed Weiland <weiland1029@y...> wrote:
> > >
> > > Any thoughts on how good/bad this guy will turn out to
> > > be?
> > >
> > > My guess is he'll do pretty well. His numbers in the
> > > CBA suggest he was a dominant force in that league,
> > > not just a very tall guy. Supposedly one of his
> > > biggest weaknesses is a lack of strength and that's
> > > something that can be fixed or at least improved on.
> > >
> > > Ed Weiland
> > >
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- --- In APBR_analysis@y..., "airiverson01" <airiverson01@y...> wrote:
> what was his cba ft% and 3ptfg%?i
> also he did play in the olympics. i taped the usa v. china game.
> think he had two blocks a few points maybe and fouled out early inI've got boxes for at least 6 of his Olympic games. They're not the
> the second half. i think he will be maybe an all star someday, but
> probably not mvp or hof.
greatest format. I could post them if other people want to reformat
and repost in more useable format. Against the US, he had 5 pts, 2
blocks, and 5 fouls in 15 minutes. Wang Zhi-Zhi played a lot better
than Ming. The US shot 57% against the Chinese and won by 47. They
got 70 points in the paint. They got 22 points off second shots and
completely dominated the offensive boards. Part of Ming's problem
was that the guards could not get him the ball. On the defensive
side, I'm not sure what you can blame his problems on.