- Jan 31, 2003Y'know, I was wondering why this cross-generational thing has been
bugging me. I really don't have much interest in simulating old
teams vs. new teams, but there are elements of doing it -- and
elements of Mike's study with minutes -- that really get at something
I am very interested in. It just took a while for it to click in my
brain what it is.
Both Mike's study and the cross-generational stuff get at the
question: What is talent? Or what is a measure of talent? As I've
mentioned before, we measure performance with stats, not talent.
Performance is a function of talent, but also a bunch of other
things, including the average talent level in the league (that Mike
is getting at), coaching, home/road, etc.
Though I don't have much time right now, there is a lot we've talked
about that gets at potentially better evaluating _talent_ in modern
players, an issue of great value. I will post some of my results on
the impacts of height when I have time. Height is only a small
element of talent but it is at least quantifiable, unlike quickness
or strength or speed to get a shot off or ability to create own shot
Ultimately being able to say that a player would do x if it weren't
for his coach/system/role, but does y with his coach/system/role,
allows for better translation of statistics between teams and between
leagues, which is important for draft and trade analysis. And we all
know that those are important.
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