1343Re: [APBR_analysis] predicting W-L record based on team point differential
- Oct 10, 2002On Thu, 10 Oct 2002, Richard Scott wrote:
> Have also seen that Bill James pythagorean method applied to the NBA to, to do this. The exponent, of course, is radically different.I found that an exponent somewhere around 13 (unfortunately, I don't have
my notes with me; I'm at school and they're at home) works really well.
Obviously, it's not perfect; just like baseball, factors other than point
differential (like luck) impact won-lost records.
> ----- Original Message -----
> From: bchaikin@...
> To: APBR_analysis@yahoogroups.com
> Sent: Thursday, October 10, 2002 3:17 AM
> Subject: [APBR_analysis] predicting W-L record based on team point differential
> This is pretty radical. Does anyone know what team ppg differential
> typically produces in terms of W-L record? My guess is 6.3 ppg and
> 57-25 is closer to normal, like Bob says, than 3.1 ppg and 55-27 is.
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