More from Scott Stevens. Scroll down to "Forecaster Franklin." Click the link if you don't receive the images or can't access the links.
Love and Light.
Three days Later...
TROPICAL STORM ZETA DISCUSSION NUMBER 14
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
4 PM EST MON JAN 02 2006 ALTHOUGH A WEAKENING TREND SEEMED IMMINENT EARLIER TODAY...AS THE LOW-CLOUD CENTER STARTED TO BECOME EXPOSED...A NEW BURST OF DEEP CONVECTION SUBSEQUENTLY REFORMED NEAR THE CENTER. ZETA HAS THUS
FAR REFUSED TO WEAKEN IN...WHAT APPEARS TO BE...A STRONGLY SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. CLEARLY WE NEED AN INCREASED UNDERSTANDING OF INTENSITY CHANGE FOR SYSTEMS IN THE SUBTROPICS SUCH AS ZETA...EPSILON...VINCE...ETC.
NOTWITHSTANDING... GLOBAL MODEL FORECASTS INDICATE EVEN STRONGER UPPER-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE STORM
WITHIN 1-2 DAYS AND IT IS HARD TO CONCEIVE THAT A TROPICAL CYCLONE WILL BE ABLE TO SURVIVE FOR VERY LONG IN SUCH A HOSTILE DYNAMICAL ENVIRONMENT. THEREFORE I HAVE NOT BACKED OFF ON THE FORECAST OF WEAKENING. OF COURSE...ZETA MAY HAVE OTHER IDEAS. TROPICAL STORM ZETA DISCUSSION NUMBER 15
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 10 PM EST MON JAN 02 2006 ZETA IS STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY. IT APPEARS THAT EVERY PULSE OF STRONG UPPER-LEVEL WINDS THAT HAS TRIED TO APPROACH ZETA BECOMES DIVERTED AWAY FROM THE CYCLONE.
CONSEQUENTLY...THE CYCLONE HAS NOT BECOME SHEARED. SATELLITE IMAGES SHOW THAT THE CONVECTION IS OVER
THE CENTER AND THE OUTFLOW HAS EXPANDED WESTWARD. BOTH SUBJECTIVE AND OBJECTIVE T-NUMBERS HAVE INCREASED TODAY. IN ADDITION...THE LATEST SSMI IMAGE SHOW A RING OF DEEP CONVECTION RESEMBLING AN EYEWALL...BUT NOT QUITE. INITIAL INTENSITY IS BEING INCREASED TO 50 KNOTS AND I COULD GO EVEN HIGHER IF THE LATEST QUIKSCAT IS USED. A BRAVO FOR THE GFDL. IT HAS BEEN THE ONLY MODEL WHICH HAS KEPT ZETA ALIVE DURING THE PAST FEW DAYS AND IN FACT...THE LATEST RUN MAKES
IT A 79-KNOT HURRICANE AS A SHARP UPPER-TROUGH APPROACHES THE HURRICANE. I WAS TEMPTED TO FOLLOW THE GFDL TREND BUT I HESITATED SINCE I AM NOT READY FOR SUCH AGGRESSIVE FORECAST YET GIVEN THE APPROACHING HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT FORECAST BY EVERY OTHER MODEL. ALL I AM DOING IN THE OFFICIAL FOREAST IS PROLONGING THE LIFE OF A GRADUALLY WEAKENING ZETA...BASED ON CONTINUITY.
Zeta 0315Z 3January 2006
Despite the 'natural environment' Zeta strengthens to a strong tropical storm during this first week of January 2006. The magnetic field lines are evident on the west and northern portions of this IR image. Squares and energy depositing holes are visible on the eastern and more subtly on the southern quadrant of the storm.
If TPTB (The Powers That Be) are really out to get our attention with what is possible in generating tropical storms, in any season--regardless of water temperatures, then expect to see another storm in January 2006. If this comes to pass, then all doubts should be extinguished on the existence of the long running global weather modification program. For those more 'educated' in the workings of the atmosphere the obviousness of all of this out of season activity should have raised up more red flags than a Chinese military parade. Still most weather professionals ignore the possibility of weather modification on this scale let alone the possibility of out right control. Remember that just one cup of Dark Energy contains enough energy to boil this planet's oceans. Once the mainstream media and science realizes that access to this energy has been achieved, and a long time ago, then this debate will seem as silly as the one associated with The Church and the belief that the Earth is
The following a a great article the delves into the background of weather modification and control.
The Ultimate Weapon of Mass Destruction:
"Owning the Weather" for Military Use
by Michel Chossudovsky
The significant expansion in America's weather warfare arsenal, which is a priority of the Department of Defense is not a matter for debate or discussion. While, environmentalists blame the Bush administration for not having signed the Kyoto protocol, the issue of "weather warfare", namely the manipulation of weather patterns for military use is never mentioned.
The US Air Force has the capability of manipulating climate either for testing purposes or for outright military-intelligence use. These capabilities extend to the triggering of floods, hurricanes, droughts and earthquakes. In recent years, large amounts of money have been allocated by the US Department of Defense to further developing and perfecting these capabilities.
Weather modification will become a part of domestic and international security and could be done unilaterally... It could have offensive and defensive applications and even be used for deterrence purposes. The ability to generate precipitation, fog, and storms on earth or to modify space weather, ... and the production of artificial weather all are a part of an integrated set of technologies which can provide substantial increase in US, or degraded capability in an adversary, to achieve global awareness, reach, and power. (US Air Force, emphasis added. Air University of the US Air Force, AF 2025 Final Report, http://www.au.af.mil/au/2025/
Zeta as she appeared 30 December 2005
Holes, which are locations from which energy is deposited/brought forth and used to spin-up this grossly out of season tropical storm, appear in pairs.. some of which have been arrowed. The bright white dots are locations of the coldest cloud tops indicating which thunderstorms have reached the greatest altitude and which storms may have been juiced up a bit to strengthen Zeta beyond what the ambient environment would typically and naturally be capable of sustaining.
Locations in blue where tropical storms can develop late in the season, November in this case. No map was provided for December because, I guess, so few storms develop that late in the season. Not only is Zeta out of season it didn't even form where these late season storms have climatologically developed in the past!
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