--- In firstname.lastname@example.org
, "David" <b1blancer1@e...>
> > David,
> > Region 835 is not a reverse polarity group so it's latitude
> > is somewhat meaningless. Plus N18 is no big deal. There probably
> > have been about 7-10 this year already with a higher latitude.
> > Although I have not seen one in the past 2-3 months or more.
> > The new groups will eventually start showing up in the 25-35
> > latitude range or even higher. Now there have been a few reverse
> > polarity groups already in the past year or so but they were at
> > lower latitudes.
> > I thought July 2007 could end up being solar minimum so we could
> > very well start to see some new cycle groups show up in the next
> > months. A few of the recent sunspot cycles had new groups show
> > about 12-18 months before minimum. The time frame would be
> > back of course if the next minimum was much later than July
> > 2007.
> According to this, the minimum is supposed to come about a year
> now. Personally, and this is just a hunch with no hard evidence to
> back it up, I think we're going to see it earlier rather than
Well we would be seeing a fairly high smoothed monthly low then
around solar minimum. Cycle 19 had that and we saw the highest
sunspot activity level ever. I would hate to rely on this one
example as a forecasting parameter but OTOH I might give it some
weight since I think the overall long term cycle pattern points
towards an increase. We could end up seeing a good light show David
if your thoughts are correct.