Things have gotten at least slightly more interesting since my last
report. Sunspot region 528 managed to kick off am M1.5 flare on the
26th. That sunspot region is in an Earth-pointing position, but if
there was a CME associated with the flare, it certainly wasn't much of
one, and I don't see anything in the SOHO satellite imagery to
indicate that there was a CME. This was a short duration flare, and
typically it's the long duration events that are more likely to
produce a CME. There is a small coronal hole that will be rotating
into an Earth-pointing position soon. We may see something from that
around the end of next week.
The current solar and geomagnetic conditions are :
NOAA sunspot number : 65
SFI : 137
A index : 11
K index : 2
Solar wind speed : 369.3 km/sec
Solar wind density : 2.0 protons/cc
Solar wind pressure : 0.5 nPa
IMF : 8.5 nT
IMF Orientation : 0.3 nT South
Conditions for the last 24 hours :
Space weather for the past 24 hours has been minor. Radio blackouts
reaching the R1 level occurred.
Forecast for the next 24 hours :
No space weather storms are expected for the next 24 hours.
Solar Activity Forecast :
Solar activity is expected to be at low to moderate levels. Region 528
continues to exhibit the potential for producing low level M-class
Geomagnetic activity forecast :
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at predominantly quiet levels
with isolated unsettled conditions possible throughout the period.
Recent significant solar flare activity :
26-Dec-2003 1928Z M1.5