Google has posted their 'Zeitgeist' for 2005:
+ 2005 Year-End Google Zeitgeist +
Technology Review posted their 2005 R&D scorecard:
+ R&D 2005 +
The 2005 edition of the TR R&D Scorecard shows that worldwide
corporate spending is picking up, but that the gains are
unevenly distributed. The biggest advances are in the life
sciences, which also happen to be among the most
research-intensive industries (Innovation Sectors): 2004 R&D
spending among the biotech companies on the list shot up by an
average of 69 percent over the previous year.
ZDNet confessed to making bad predictions:
+ Ten Failed Tech Trends for 2005 +
And the top inventions of 2005:
+ Top 50 Inventions +
Oh, whoops, those weren't all invented in 2005. Never mind!
Bill Gates, Melinda Gates, and Bono are Time Magazine's
"Persons of the Year". Bill Gates, I understand, but what
are Melinda and Bono doing there? They're not even remotely
in Bill's league.
+ Designing a revolutionary concept in software demanded a
computer with extraordinary performance. The Tandy 2000
Although this post was from October, it does a good
job of showing the hyperactive growth in blogs we had
+ State of the Blogosphere, October 2005 Part 1: On Blogosphere
The chart below shows the continued growth of the blogosphere.
Technorati is now tracking 19.6 Million weblogs, and the total
number of weblogs tracked continues to double about every 5
months. This trend has been consistent for at least the last 36
months. In other words, the blogosphere has doubled at least 5
times in the last 3 years.
Speaking of milestones, the Internet passed a big one in 2005 --
the 1 billionth user.
+ One Billion Internet Users +
The Internet is growing at an annualized rate of 18% and now
has one billion users. A second billion users will follow in
the next ten years, bringing a dramatic change in worldwide
+ 25 Most Interesting Webcams of 2005 +
+ Our Favorite Fonts of 2005 +
+ The Mother of All CPU Charts 2005/2006 +
On March 13, 2005, I predicted the following for CPU performance:
December 25, 2001 2 GHZ chips from Intel and/or AMD
October 16, 2003 4 GHZ
August 6, 2005 8 GHZ
May 27, 2007 16 GHZ
But I was wrong. Already, we've transitioned from "faster GHZ"
to "more CPU cores"...
+ Moore's Law Matures +
First, a confession; for a while there, it was getting pretty
boring covering the semiconductor industry as a technical
editor. The new product introductions were so predictable.
The largest city of 2005 was also the largest city of 2004:
+ World's Most Populous Urban Agglomerations: 2005 +
In my world, the software world, 2005 was the year of AJAX,
Ruby on Rails, and "Web 2.0".
+ Ajax: A New Approach to Web Applications +
+ Ruby on Rails +
+ Web 2.0 +
Not to mention Google Maps, where you can roll
your own map app. *I* didn't make any killer Google
Map app, but you can...
+ Google Planimeter +
Now let's go back to my predictions for 2005 that I
made at the end of 2004 and see how much of this
I predicted correctly. Err... let's not.
Ok, time to make predictions for 2006.
+ Global Predictions for 2006 +
Both Israel and the United States will be compelled to launch a
preemptive strike against the network of Iranian nuclear
weapons and missile manufacturing facilities
+ SurfingTheMag.com's Fearless Predictions for 2006 +
Mick Fanning wins his first world title
+ Psychic sights: Predictions For 2006 +
Wedding bells for Jenna or Barbara Bush.
+ Predictions of what 2006 will bring +
Director Peter Jackson, saying he always envisioned his "King
Kong" to be part of a grand trilogy, returns to New Zealand to
begin work on a five-hour remake of "Son of Kong."
+ Reality TV Magazine's Wacky Reality TV Predictions for 2006 +
On a whim, former Survivor contestant Jonny Fairplay will run
for Governor of California in 2006.
+ Crystal ball predictions for 2006 +
Rick Wagoner being ousted from GM
+ Give us your 2006 predictions +
Pennsylvania Republican Rick Santorum will be removed by voters
+ High-Tech's 2006 Crystal Ball +
Google Gets Evil. Microsoft will ship Windows Vista. On-demand
software. HP Will Buy EMC. Dual-core processors. IPv6.
+ My Predictions For 2006 +
Silicon Valley will once again be lauded for its traditional
strengths--good educational base, plenty of funding. The term
globalization will continue through its initial Kantian
thesis/antithesis stage. People in the U.S. will more acutely
realize the implications of the competition between China and
India for oil. Open source software will be treated as any
other software. The trifecta of losers-to-winners--see Boston
Red Sox 2004 and Chicago White Sox 2005--will not be completed.
The browser will be recognized as an antiquated, obsolete way
of locating and viewing information.
+ The Shape of i-Technology To Come: SYS-CON's Annual Round-Up
of Techno-Prognostications +
Rich application interfaces, including (but not exclusively)
AJAX. The most important business applications will be hosted.
The proliferation of blogs, the raw size of XML documents (and
everything is XML these days) are going to drive us to a new
emphasis on storage. Several of us who have been saying for
years that the Semantic Web has no commercial value will be
proven wrong. Java has been in the dark for the last few years,
its time to come back around again is here. A consortium will
identify and strongly promote a subset of the WS-* stack,
leading to an acceleration in the growth of SOA. Private mail
networks: With people getting slammed I believe we will see
the rise of VPMN (Virtual Private Mail Networks). Enterprises
will finally start using Java 5. E-mail will be re-engineered
to stop spam and phishing, so it will help legitimate
businesses better utilize the channel for secure communications
such as statements, purchase orders, customer service, etc.
Ruby (on Rails) and the such will still be touted as taking
over Java, but in reality will be as insignificant as they are
today. Security will continue to be a hot topic.
+ A Few Tech Predictions for 2006 +
Google's stock price will fall after its profit growth plummets
to 80%, prompting a spate of hand-wringing magazine cover
stories on "what's gone wrong" at Google.
+ Technology predictions for 2006 +
Windows Vista forces mass upgrading. 802.11n is ratified.
Digital SLRs become affordable.
+ IDC's Top 10 IT industry predictions for Asia Pacific +
Wireless content packages keep consumer spending on the boil.
The Skype factor and consumer VoIP. Increased convergence leads
to overwhelming consumer choice. IT consolidation will drive
new patterns of infrastructure acquisition and management.
Business Intelligence (BI) graduates to prime time.
+ The Trends, Technologies, Companies And People To Watch In
Managed Services Adoption, Vendor Loyalty, Software As A
Service, Mobile Applications Development, Expanding Services
Me? Actually, if I had any actionable predictions, I'd be
writing the business plan right now so I could profit from
it. That's why I'm a "futurist" -- predicting the future is
a survival skill. And given how badly I'm doing at the
"survival" thing, I guess I'm not much of a futurist. So
I'll tell you what. This year, I'll sit here and watch MTV,
and you all can make the predictions! Who wants to go