... -- Cold Mountain, Cold Rivers Working at the Crossroads of Environmental and Human Rights since 1990 PO Box 7941 Missoula Montana 59807 (406)728-0867Message 1 of 1 , Oct 4, 2004View Source
>Katherine Hayhoe et al. Proceedings of the NAS:101:34:12422-7; 24 Aug. '04 .
>The first region-wide GHG impacts modeling to look at a range of policy
>(emissions) scenarios (IPCC's business as usual (970 ppm CO2 by 2100) and
>aggressive intervention (just 550 ppm CO2 by 2100) looks at the effect in
>California--with its diverse climates, limited water yet massive
>Even under the steep emission reductions, heatwaves in LA are modelled to
>quadruple, heat-related human mortality would increase 2-3 times,
>alpine/subalpine forests reduced by 75-90%, snowpack is estimated to
>decrease 30-90%, and an increase in deserts (the last three not previously
>predicted); all effects are strongly depending on the GHG emissions in the
>first 50 years(<-- the un-solvable policy dilema!).
>Enter the DOI: 10.1073/pnas.0404500101 at http:dx.doi.org for the abstract
>if not the full paper.
Cold Mountain, Cold Rivers
Working at the Crossroads of Environmental and Human Rights since 1990
PO Box 7941
Missoula Montana 59807