... to ... not ... The accumulations do seem to be random, but the perception is real. Coaches definitely call timeouts when there seems to be a run. We reMessage 1 of 8 , Aug 30, 2002View Source--- In APBR_analysis@y..., "mikel_ind" <msg_53@h...> wrote:
> --- In APBR_analysis@y..., "HoopStudies" <deano@r...> wrote:wrote:
> > --- In APBR_analysis@y..., "thedawgsareout" <kpelton08@h...>
> > > ... nice to have a statistical idea of theto
> > > value of momentum timeouts. It might be difficult to pick out a
> > > specific set of criteria to determine what timeouts are called
> > > stop a run, but if you could isolate those and see what happensnot
> > > afterward compared to when teams on the same type of runs are
> > > stopped by a timeout, that would be very valuable.The accumulations do seem to be random, but the perception is real.
> What do we know about runs of momentum? At the professional level,
> where panic is less frequent, and coaches get paid big bucks, there
> will still be some random accumulations of points favoring one team
> or the other.
Coaches definitely call timeouts when there seems to be a run. We're
looking to see whether those timeouts cause the end of a run at a
rate that is significantly different than what you'd expect from
> > ...teams that call timeouts to stop a run actually had aDefinitely true. You don't want to not have a timeout when you need
> > bit better chances of stopping that run than would be
> expected. ...> DeanO
> And, what is the value of an unused timeout? Being out of timeouts
> gives the opposition more options. Saving timeouts is good.
> The more polished team will not benefit from timeouts as much asthe
> disorganized team will benefit. Bob Knight was the master atgaining
> the advantage in uninterrupted play. Having 4-5 seniors on thefloor
> helped.Well, this sounds like a future study.
Dean-- Great idea for a study. A couple random thoughts: -- Substitution. Teams can not only call a play or change defenses during timeouts, they can alsoMessage 1 of 8 , Sep 2, 2002View SourceDean--
Great idea for a study. A couple random thoughts:
-- Substitution. Teams can not only call a play or change defenses
during timeouts, they can also change who is on the court. Of course,
trying to separate out the two effects might be a real drag.
-- Losing teams. As has been pointed out, teams often call timeout
when they are faced with a run by the opponent. This strongly
suggests, although I have no hard date to back this up, that losing
teams will use more timeouts than winning teams, and could
potentially bias the data if they used enough more.
Best of luck with it and keep us posted....