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Re: Candidates - Speculators caused oil price increases?   Message List  
Reply | Forward Message #544 of 2767 |
RE: Candidates - Speculators caused oil price increases?

Peter von Pinnon wrote:

PVP> http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/ [..]
PVP> I'm confident that the price [of oil] is going
PVP> up over the next several years.

Before you invest too much in oil (or any other commodity), you should read
Chapter 11 of Julian Simon's _Ultimate Resource_ (1996), still available
online at
http://web.archive.org/web/20030812131739/http://www.juliansimon.com/writing
s/Ultimate_Resource/
(or http://tinyurl.com/53chq). (For a more recent treatment, see Ch. 11 of
_The Skeptical Environmentalist_, but that's not online.)

Leftist eco-doomsayer Paul Ehrlich famously lost a 10-year bet with Simon
over the price of a basket of five commodities chosen by Ehrlich:
http://www.overpopulation.com/faq/People/julian_simon.html.

The bet was about $1000 worth of commodities, so Ehrlich's loss was only
$576. Your losses may vary, but in the long run you _will_ lose.




Thu Apr 14, 2005 4:44 pm

brianholtz1965
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Message #544 of 2767 |
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RICHARD RIDER COMMENT: Like Peter, I've already made my bet in this matter. In the early 90's I became a very small owner of several oil fields. The cash...
Richard Rider
RRider@...
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Apr 14, 2005
5:16 pm

Peter von Pinnon wrote: PVP> http://www.lifeaftertheoilcrash.net/ [..] PVP> I'm confident that the price [of oil] is going PVP> up over the next several years....
Brian Holtz
brianholtz1965
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Apr 14, 2005
5:24 pm

Speculators and traders actually keep prices from spiking. The are clearly a moderating force in price fluctuations, especially extreme ones. They perform...
Bruce Cohen
brucedcohen2002@...
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Apr 14, 2005
9:35 pm

... I looked at the website. It begins "Civilization as we know it is coming to an end soon." Its errors are numerous, and obvious after reading Julian Simon...
Brian Holtz
brianholtz1965
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Apr 15, 2005
7:06 am

You are assuming that the transition to other viable forms of energy will be quick and efficient. With the government standing in the way, I have my doubts....
Peter von Pinnon
pvonpinnon@...
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Apr 16, 2005
3:25 pm

... Actually, I think we have at least a century to manage the transition. ... Start with figures 11-2 through 11-4, showing that coal/oil/electricity prices...
Brian Holtz
brianholtz1965
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Apr 16, 2005
4:13 pm
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