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Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding   Message List  
Reply | Forward Message #454 of 2817 |

  Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding    
   
  LU Stations 274   Probability of one attack by hour (5yr mean):  One chance in 9,474,920
  Open Hours per Day 19   Probability of 3 station terror hit (5yr mean): One chance in 850,602,500,906,920,000,000
  Open Days a Year 364    
  Mean Sample frequent (yrs) 5   Probability of one attack by hour (10yr mean):  One chance in 18,949,840
  Mean Sample frequent (yrs) 10   Probability of 3 station terror hit (10yr mean): One chance in 6,804,820,007,255,360,000,000
         
  Same Time 3    
         
   
  LU Stations 274   Probability of drill on 1 stations per hour One chance in 817,342
  Open Hours per Day 19   Probability of drill on 3 stations per hour One chance in 546,023,643,432,766,000
  Open Days a Year 157    
         
  Same Time 3    
   
  PROBABILITY OF DRILL AND TERROR ATTACK COINCIDING BY CHANCE (10yr mean) One chance in 3,715,592,613,265,750,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000
     
  Estimate of Grains of sand in the whole world (http://www.miamisci.org/tripod/whysand.html)   7,500,000,000,000,000,000
   
  In context: If I go to a beach, or a desert, or under the sea and pick a single grain of sand.     
  What chance is there of you going to the same part of the world by chance and picking up the same grain?   
  You are trillions of times more likely to do this that the London drill coinciding with this attack at that hour  
     
  I wonder why the media aren't reporting the drill??    
             
 
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Wed Jul 13, 2005 5:14 pm

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... Probability of 7/7 Drill and Attack Coinciding LU Stations 274 Probability of one attack by hour (5yr mean): One chance in 9,474,920 Open Hours per Day...
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