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Relative importances of different things on democracy   Message List  
Reply | Forward Message #6368 of 12569 |
By popular demand...
I made an initial stab at a web page about this.
The first item (turnout effects) is pretty much not computed
yet, however. Anybody want to try to compute what fraction
of US election winners would change if we had universal suffrage and
universal voting? Or how much the US vote would shift?

There are turnout biases correlating
with income, education-level, race, gender, and criminality. These also
are correlated with politics. You have to estimate all these effects
and their magnitudes and signs, to get an estimate of how much the
vote would shift. When we have that number we can compare with
other things like the "gender gap" estimating how important women's
suffrage is, etc.

Also the fraud item has a large error bar...

http://rangevoting.org/RelImport.html





Wed Oct 31, 2007 9:08 pm

warren_d_smi...
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By popular demand... I made an initial stab at a web page about this. The first item (turnout effects) is pretty much not computed yet, however. Anybody want...
warren_d_smith31
warren_d_smi...
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Oct 31, 2007
9:08 pm

http://rangevoting.org/RelImport.html ok, have updated to reflect new data & analysis....
warren_d_smith31
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Nov 1, 2007
2:44 am

... Comments on the pages: * I think that this comparison is a useful idea. I recognize that these estimates are preliminary but I find it interesting that so...
allaboutvoting
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Nov 1, 2007
9:28 pm

... ...groan. Be nice if YOU were to rewrite some of this not me, thus achieving the goal of clarifying it for you. Prof. Steve Brams provided the following...
warren_d_smith31
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Nov 2, 2007
1:40 am

... Well that can be used to see the influence of different things but it does not express whether the changes are for the better or the worse or basically...
allaboutvoting
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Nov 2, 2007
2:26 pm

... --true, and the http://rangevting.org/RelImport.html page includes some discussion of precisely that point. But I think this page-set could beneficially be...
warren_d_smith31
warren_d_smi...
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Nov 2, 2007
4:50 pm

... <AllAboutVoting@...> wrote:some here have argued that ... well said!...
brokenladdercalendar
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Nov 3, 2007
4:35 pm

... election results changed by women's votes versus the number that would be changed by adopting other voting systems; but am downgrading 55 to 43 due to fact...
brokenladdercalendar
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Nov 3, 2007
4:36 pm

... norms) ... --true, IF we believe that this shows the gender gap is increasing with time (and therefore will continue to increase). However, we can also...
warren_d_smith31
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Nov 3, 2007
4:59 pm
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